Workshop of the EAPS Health, Morbidity and Mortality Working Group, Prague, 16.-18. September 2015

Programme of the workshop

16th of September 2015

12:00 Registration
13:30 – 14:00 Welcoming, technical remarks (Jon Anson, Klára Hulíková, Petr Mazouch)
14:00 – 14:30 Opening lecture (Jon Anson)
14:30 – 15:00 Opening lecture (Klára Hulíková, Petr Mazouch)
15:00 – 15:30 How Long Japan Will Stand as the World Best Performer in Life Expectancy? (Jacques Vallin, France Meslé)
15:30 – 16:00 Evolution of mortality patterns in Belgium 1992–2012 (Patrick Deboosere)
16:00 – 16:30 Mortality convergence and divergence among selected European countries: methodology and application to cause-specific data and selected regions (Dan Kašpar, Klára Hulíková)
16:30 – 17:00 Coffee break
17:00 – 17:30 Increasing life expectancy at older ages despite increasing disease prevalence 1993–2013: explanatory value of life course and period factors (Dorly J.H. Deeg, Henrike Galenkamp, Martijn Huisman)
17:30 – 18:00 Evolution of mortality in elderly 1980–2010: the Russian and European models (Victoria Semyonova, Tamara Sabgayda)
18:00 – 19:00 Poster session I., informal discussion, closing remarks
19:00 – 22:00 Dinner on the 16th of September (in the Academic Club of the University of Economics in Prague, situated in the same building as the workshop)

17th of September 2015

9:30 – 10:00 Changing Relationship between Unemployment and Mortality in South Korea: Did Extended Protection of the National Health Insurance Play a Role? (Chulhee Lee, K. Kim)
10:00 – 10:30 Causes of Death in Population during the Periods of Demographic Crises: Russia, 1933 (Vladimir Isupov, Vladimir Lamin, Denis Ananyev)
10:30 – 11:00 Cohort effects and structural changes in mortality (Edviges Coelho, Luis C. Nunes)
11:00 – 11:30 Coffee break
11:30 – 12:00 A Unified Model of Demographic Time (Tim Riffe)
12:00 – 12:30 Conditional dependence of long period time series of numbers of deaths by individual causes (Kateřina Podolská)
12:30 – 13:00 Using thanatological, chronological and period components of morbidity patterns to estimate future morbidity in the context of changing mortality (Tim Riffe, Pil H. Chung, John MacInnes)
13:00 – 13:30 Assessment of cross-sectional and longitudinal components of a difference with an algorithm of contour replacement (Dmitri Jdanov, Vladimir M. Shkolnikov)
13:30 – 14:30 Conference lunch (sandwiches), situated near the workshop on the same floor of the building. If you wish, you can also buy food on your own within the building (Academic club).
14:30 – 15:00 Use of 1-year intervals in graphic plots of age-period-cohort trends suggests a role for Influenza in secular (period and cohort) variations of all-causes mortality (Maria Ines Azambuja)
15:00 – 15:30 Measuring young adult excess mortality: a non-parametric additive approach (Adrien Remund, Carlo Giovanni Camarda)
15:30 – 16:00 Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data. What is the best trade-off between short-term accuracy and long-term robustness? (Lenny Stoeldraijer, Coen van Duin, Fanny Janssen)
16:00 – 16:30 Coffee break
16:30 – 17:00 The changing contribution of smoking to socio-economic inequalities in mortality in Europe: short and long term international comparisons (Giorgia Gregoraci et al.)
17:00 – 17:30 Forced migration at childhood: are there long-term health effects? (Jan Saarela, Irma Elo, Fjalar Finnäs)
17:30 – 18:30 Poster session II.
19:00 Workshop dinner – collective dinner in one of the local popular restaurants near the University of Economics in Prague.

  18th of September 2015

 9:00 – 9:30 How Socio-economics Factors and Health Access Facilities Affect the Maternal Death in Indonesia: A Case Study of Maternal Death in Central Sulawesi (Fredy Tjekden, Dan Marpaleni)
9:30 – 10:00 Are the ethnic inequalities at beginning of 21st century differing from preceding period? Case of Latvia (Juris Krumins, Denize Ponomarjova)
10:00 – 10:30 Intergenerational inequality in mortality modernization in Eastern Europe (Nataliya Foigt)
10:30 – 11:00 Trends in the Arab-Jewish gap in life expectancy in Israel (Ameed Saabneh)
11:00 – 11:30 Coffee break
11:30 – 12:00 Changes in the contribution of increases in the modal age at dying versus compression at different life stages to the increase in life expectancy from 1950 onwards (Fanny Janssen, Joop de Beer)
12:00 – 12:30 Mortality curve smoothing: crucial question of finding and selection of the optimal parametric function (Klára Hulíková, Boris Burcin, Tereza Pachlová, Dan Kašpar)
12:30 – 13:00 Coherent forecasting of mortality (Heather Booth)
13:00 – 13:30 Closing remarks
13:30 – 15:00 Poster session (optional), informal discussion, coffee, small lunch
15:00 Small walk through the city centre
17:00 Start of the boat trip on Vltava River


Program of workshop in PDF



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